Unauthorized, invalid response, 403 nginx hastebin

That’s weird. Old version of Certbot perhaps?

You can try follow the Debian instructions to upgrade. Sometimes Raspbian can be a bit of a problem, you might have better luck using the portable certbot-auto, which keeps itself up to date and has less problems with dependencies.

Alternatively, you can try add this to the end of the Certbot command:

--preferred-challenges http