Error connection refused

Here's the appropriate error: the Let's Encrypt validation server can't reach your Apache webserver on port 80. Nor can I by the way. You need to make sure your webserver is reachable on port 80 from the world wide web.

Also, I don't really understand why you tried certbot --nginx --dry-run too? Do you have a nginx webserver running too perhaps? Although that's unlikely looking at the error message provided after you tried that..

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